ACUS11 KWNS 131747
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 131747=20
NCZ000-SCZ000-131945-

Mesoscale Discussion 0775
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1247 PM CDT Tue May 13 2025

Areas affected...Northeastern South Carolina into central North
Carolina

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 131747Z - 131945Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated large hail and damaging wind gusts are possible
with convection this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A shortwave perturbation around the Mid-South upper low
has promoted the development of convection along parts of the NC/SC
border. Additional storms are possible within this very moist,
uncapped airmass along the Atlantic sea breeze or other localized
areas of convergence. The most organized storms can be expected
closer to the coast where effective shear values are greater. Large
hail and damaging winds will likely be the primary threats with this
activity. A weak warm front feature from northeast North Carolina
into Virginia continues to lift northward. Given the boundary motion
away from the ongoing storms, the tornado threat will likely remain
low.

..Wendt/Gleason.. 05/13/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_5AMtaLbWWftNkjjwmPWUWCLGigJ5IKEnSo6PJSerAvwF8El-7-R5jCX0Sh6_oDtnTjAZVV9G= eJfRmFC2_xLsaNJPmQ$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON 33998075 35518067 36148034 36077993 35447889 34897834
34347804 34007830 33777885 33537909 33717962 33718025
33998075=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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