ACUS11 KWNS 101828
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101828=20
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-102030-

Mesoscale Discussion 0760
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0128 PM CDT Sat May 10 2025

Areas affected...southeast Alabama into southwest Georgia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 244...

Valid 101828Z - 102030Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 244 continues.

SUMMARY...At least isolated severe storms remain possible especially
near the warm front over southeast Alabama and southwest Georgia.

DISCUSSION...A long-tracked supercell that moved out of the FL
Panhandle is now situated along the AL/GA border east of the EOX
radar, and has morphed into a supercell-MCS hybrid. This system is
along the stationary front, with northern sections of the complex
indicating broad but substantial rotation. At the very least,
damaging wind is likely with this system, but a brief tornado could
still materialize.

Although areas of heating have occurred along the main boundary,
surface observations show little northward movement, and in fact,
some observations such as KCSG have cooled with the boundary moving
back to the southwest. As such, it is possible additional severe
potential will be limited north of the existing watch, except for
perhaps a few nearby counties.

..Jewell.. 05/10/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9ZYa1Pft3PYReYBTWJqGYidN4k4j9bt3K3OfBQcFm2ZV34BH5SO8WOQbJJZNe1g6GvneLgx5_= 7nmyg4M88qcsg_K7Zc$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...

LAT...LON 31398397 31118468 30918522 31008562 31428574 31758570
32188535 32348451 32528364 32578321 32308293 31938296
31668321 31398397=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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