ACUS11 KWNS 061256
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061255=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-061430-

Mesoscale Discussion 0713
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0755 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025

Areas affected...Parts of north-central TX and far south-central OK

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 230...

Valid 061255Z - 061430Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 230
continues.

SUMMARY...Some severe threat could spread eastward with time this
morning.

DISCUSSION...A persistent storm cluster with an embedded supercell
is approaching north-central TX this morning, with other convection
increasing in advance of this cluster within a low-level
warm-advection regime. The 12Z FWD sounding depicted moderate
elevated buoyancy and sufficient deep-layer shear for storm
organization, and some short-term threat for hail and isolated
strong to severe gusts may spread eastward this morning, both with
the ongoing cluster and any intensifying downstream cells. Depending
on short-term trends, local extension of WW 230 and/or new watch
issuance is possible later this morning.

..Dean/Guyer.. 05/06/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_mt1NWtH8OliYckIHkgh1iZisSL57xFyfzVeVoEFFpMgY5J6Cv5bNqtTjxaiZnOqXiitnQfXx= cB4YmQLHOgKy-4b6gI$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

LAT...LON 33129906 34039832 34019722 33439699 33049679 32449677
32069711 31949816 31899889 32019891 32249892 33129906=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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