ACUS11 KWNS 022054
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022054=20
MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-022230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0657
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0354 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025

Areas affected...portions of far eastern Texas...central and
northern Louisiana...and central Mississippi

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 211...

Valid 022054Z - 022230Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 211
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 211. Large hail and damaging gusts remain possible with the
stronger storms.

DISCUSSION...Multicellular convection persists amid a moderately
unstable but weakly sheared airmass across portions of far eastern
TX into central MS. Ahead of the storms, surface temperatures remain
in the upper 70s to mid 80s F amid upper 60s F dewpoints, with
MLCAPE exceeding 2500 J/kg in spots. Multicellular clusters that
continue to progress eastward into this more buoyant air will
continue to pose a threat for at least marginally severe hail and
strong wind gusts.

..Squitieri.. 05/02/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_8OS2nenu6-UTcyHfmaC08z3mDAZVLSIhodVYpS_RnHoxE7pHEgvjw3Vju51F8XfhEfLpHssI= 49-Q7B7mRRDfvCjF_I$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 31789456 32569392 33429136 34298855 33788831 33108838
32588865 31909031 30959236 30639345 30559404 30649446
31789456=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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