• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0630

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu May 1 04:12:45 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 010410
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 010410=20
    TXZ000-010545-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0630
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1110 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

    Areas affected...Central/East Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 202...

    Valid 010410Z - 010545Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 202
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Isolated large hail threat continues with convection this
    evening. Severe threat is expected to gradually wane and a new ww is
    not currently anticipated. However an EXT could be warranted for an
    hour or so.

    DISCUSSION...Southern influence of southern Plains short-wave trough
    appears to be aiding southwestern flank of elongated MCS. Latest
    radar data suggests several robust updrafts continue to generate
    hail, especially over Williamson/Milam County just northeast of
    Austin. This activity is moving slowly southeast as the primary
    synoptic boundary sags into this portion of TX. Isolated large hail
    continues to be the main severe threat with these storms.

    ..Darrow.. 05/01/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8Bc6OZD1MGt_qDZSWnMLfpMNHnoNeA-OwtPn6HlSUh7FxSHCBexmEh_yeoBwKqAX7U_Q8p1LH= ZHSSBoIhSvPwA47_fg$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...

    LAT...LON 30859738 30869627 31389533 31999465 31739402 30919439
    30259614 30319723 30599774 30859738=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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