ACUS11 KWNS 291509
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291509=20
MOZ000-291615-

Mesoscale Discussion 0601
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1009 AM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025

Areas affected...southern MO

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 187...

Valid 291509Z - 291615Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 187
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe gusts, with localized gusts to 80 mph, may continue
across south-central Missouri over the next 1-2 hours.

DISCUSSION...A mature and intense bow produced 90 mph gusts as it
moved across the Springfield MO vicinity 45 minutes ago. Radar
presentation continues to indicate a well-defined bow, with KSGF VWP
data showing a 50-60 kt rear inflow jet. This bow is likely to
continue east at around 55 kt along the higher theta-e gradient
across southern MO. Localized areas of severe, and potentially
significant, wind gusts may continue over the next 1-2 hours.

..Leitman.. 04/29/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4zD22VaYjyAjPyt2y-Uy3LUSuVQf1GXhhxTVWMgdcUP7eI8jwtaZOuc1di_NCTw2a4ZmHwcLx= RscwHoUKVBpbkNKY1M$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...

LAT...LON 37779312 37919174 37769117 37099094 36689126 36739242
36799305 37119336 37779312=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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